월가의 가장 뜨거운 논쟁: 비트코인 ​​전략에 대한 차노스 대 세일러

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The Clash of Wall Street Titans

중 하나 월가‘s most renowned skeptics, short seller Jim Chanos, is intensifying his critique of a highly popular bitcoin trade: Michael Saylor’s MicroStrategy (MSTR). Chanos, known for predicting the downfall of Enron, recently voiced his strong disapproval on Bloomberg’s “Odd Lots” podcast, marking the latest in a series of public comments targeting the market frenzy surrounding Saylor’s company. He asserts that Saylor’s strategy “makes kind of no sense,” sparking a heated debate that has captivated the financial world.

Saylor’s Bitcoin Juggernaut Strategy

마이클 세일러 has ingeniously transformed a business intelligence software firm into a formidable bitcoin powerhouse. He achieved this by strategically utilizing a combination of debt and equity to accumulate a massive amount of the world’s largest cryptocurrency on his company’s balance sheet. As of June 30, MicroStrategy now holds an astounding 597,325 bitcoins, valued at approximately $64 billion, solidifying its position as the largest corporate holder of the digital asset. This aggressive bitcoin acquisition has propelled MicroStrategy’s stock to soar by 210% over the past year, significantly outperforming bitcoin’s 80% gain and the S&P 500’s 13% increase.

Chanos’s Core Valuation Concern

Chanos’s primary concern, which he consistently emphasizes across various media appearances, revolves around the valuation discrepancy: he argues that MicroStrategy should not be valued higher than the underlying bitcoin assets it possesses. His contention is that investors seeking exposure to bitcoin should simply purchase the 암호 화폐 directly rather than investing in a company whose primary function has become accumulating bitcoin. Chanos’s views carry substantial weight on Wall Street, given his track record of successfully betting against overvalued companies.

Saylor’s Counterarguments and Leverage Philosophy

Michael Saylor counters Chanos’s skepticism by asserting that shares of MicroStrategy are often easier to acquire and hold than bitcoin itself or bitcoin exchange-traded funds, primarily due to existing compliance and regulatory complexities. Proponents of Saylor’s approach also contend that MicroStrategy’s stock commands such a premium because investors anticipate the company will continue to absorb more of bitcoin’s finite supply of 21 million units. Saylor famously articulated his aggressive philosophy at a conference, stating, “If you want to 10x your money, you buy bitcoin. If you want 100x your money, you buy bitcoin with someone else’s money. If you want to 1000x your money, you buy bitcoin with someone else’s money and then you leverage the bitcoin.”

The Escalating War of Words

The intensifying verbal sparring between Jim Chanos and Michael Saylor has become a focal point on Wall Street, with both figures exchanging barbs through interviews on major financial networks. Saylor has dismissed Chanos’s understanding of MicroStrategy’s business model, predicting that Chanos will face liquidation if the stock continues to rally. Conversely, Chanos has characterized Saylor as a “wonderful salesman” whose financial rhetoric amounts to “financial gibberish,” underscoring the deep ideological divide between the two influential figures.

Challenges and Lawsuits for MicroStrategy

Despite Saylor’s bold claims, MicroStrategy is not without its critics beyond Chanos. So far in 2025, short sellers betting against Saylor’s company have faced significant losses, totaling $3.6 billion over the last month. However, the company is also contending with legal challenges; investors filed two separate lawsuits in May and June in a federal court in Virginia, both alleging that MicroStrategy misled them about how bitcoin’s volatility could impact the company’s stock value. Analysts, such as Gustavo Gala from Monness, Crespi, Hardt & Co, have also expressed concerns that MicroStrategy’s premium might diminish as fixed income investors show limited interest in the convertible debt and preferred shares used to fund its bitcoin purchases, suggesting a “limited runway” for its current strategy.

The Rise of Copycat Bitcoin Treasury Strategies

Gala further noted a growing trend of companies adopting a “copycat BTC Treasury Strategy,” with dozens of other firms, including a media company controlled by President Trump’s family and even meme stock favorite GameStop, emulating Saylor’s blueprint. Over the first half of 2025, public companies collectively added 245,191 bitcoins to their balance sheets, more than double the amount acquired by bitcoin-holding ETFs during the same period. This increasing concentration of companies pursuing similar strategies creates competition for what Gala describes as an “ostensibly similar pool of capital.” While short sellers have struggled against Saylor himself, they have found more success betting against these imitators, earning $549 million in June by shorting four of MicroStrategy’s largest followers.

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